Model Predictability

Publications

(1) Chu, P.C., 1999: Two kinds of predictability in Lorenz system. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 56, 1427-1432 (paper download).

(2) Chu, P.C., S.H. Lu, and Y.C. Chen, 2001: Evaluation of the Princeton Ocean Model using the South China Sea Monsoon Experiment (SCSMEX) data. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 18, 1245-1257 (paper download).

(3) Chu, P.C., L.M. Ivanov, C.W. Fan, 2002: Backward Fokker-Planck equation for determining model valid prediction period. Journal of Geophysical Research, 107, C6, 10.1029/2001JC000879 (paper download).

(4) Chu, P.C., L.M., Ivanov, T.M. Margolina, and O.V. Melnichenko, 2002: On probabilistic stability of an atmospheric model to various amplitude perturbations. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 59, 2860-2873 (paper download).

(5) Chu, P.C., L. Ivanov, L. Kantha, O. Melnichenko, and Y. Poberezhny, 2002: Power law decay in model predictability skill. Geophysical Research Letters, 29 (15), 10.1029/2002GLO14891 (paper download).

(6) Chu, P.C., L.M. Ivanov, T.P. Korzhova, T.M. Margolina, and O.M. Melnichenko, 2003: Analysis of sparse and noisy ocean current data using flow decomposition. Part 1: Theory. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 20 (4), 478-491 (paper download).

(7) Chu, P.C., L.M. Ivanov, T.P. Korzhova, T.M. Margolina, and O.M. Melnichenko, 2003: Analysis of sparse and noisy ocean current data using flow decomposition. Part 2: Application to Eulerian and Lagrangian data. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 20 (4), 492-512 (paper download). .

(8) Chu, P.C., L.M. Ivanov, L.H. Kantha, T.M. Margolina, and O.M. Melnichenko, and Y.A, Poberenzhny, 2004: Lagrangian predictabilty of high-resolution regional ocean models. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 11, 47-66. (paper download).

(9) Chu, P.C., L.M. Ivanov, and T.M. Margolina, 2004: Rotation method for reconstructing process and field from imperfect data. International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 14 (8), 2991-2997. (paper download).

(10) Chu, P.C., and L.M. Ivanov, 2005: Statistical characteristics of irreversible predictability time in regional ocean models. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 12, 1-10 (paper download).

(11) Chu, P.C., C.-L. Fang,and C.S. Kim, 2005: Japan/East Sea model predictability. Continental Shelf Research, 25, 2107-2121 (paper download).

(12) Ivanov, L. M., and P.C. Chu, 2007: On stochastic stability of regional ocean models to finite-amplitude perturbations of initial conditions. Dynamics of Atmosphere and Oceans, 43, (3-4), 199-225 (paper download).

(13) Ivanov, L. M., and P.C. Chu, 2007: On stochastic stability of regional ocean models with uncertainty in wind forcing. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 14, 655-670 (paper download).

(14) Chu, P.C., 2008: First passage time analysis for climate indices. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 25, 258-270 (paper download).