Robert Shearer LTC, USA, Military Faculty, Assistant Professor Department of Operations Research Graduate School of Operational and Information Sciences Monterey, CA 93943 Phone: 831-656-3027 Email: rlsheare@nps.edu EDUCATION: DSc - George Washington University, 2005 Operations Research MS - Georgia Tech, 1999 Industrial Engineering BS - United States Military Academy, 1990 Engineering Management NPS EXPERIENCE: 2008 Assistant Professor OTHER EXPERIENCE: 2008 Operations Analysis Cell Team Chief: Multinational Corps - Iraq (MNC-I) 2005-2007 Senior Analyst: Force Strategy Division, Center for Army Analysis (CAA) 2005 Military Analyst: Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) 1999-2002 Analyst: Force Strategy Division, Center for Army Analysis (CAA) 1995-1997 Company Commander: Republic of Korea 1990-1994 Rifle Platoon Leader, Company Executive Officer and Brigade S3 Air: 82d Airborne Division. TEACHING INTERESTS: Simulation Stochastic Processes Pattern Recognition RESEARCH INTERESTS: Nation-State Instability AWARDS: 2008 International Symposium on Military Operations Research (ISMOR) Award for Best Paper 2007 Omar Bradley Fellowship for the Study of Mathematical Sciences 2006 Finalist, Department of the Army Dr. Wilbur B. Payne Memorial Award for Excellence in Analysis 2005 Military Operations Research Society (MORS) David Rist Prize 2001 Military Operations Research Society (MORS) Richard H. Barchi Prize SELECTED PUBLICATIONS: Shearer, R. and Brett Marvin 2008. Recognizing Patterns of Nation-State Instability that Lead to Conflict. (draft version) Shearer, R. 2007. Forecasting Israeli-Palestinian Conflict with Hidden Markov Models. Military Operations Research. 12(4): 5-15.